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La curva de Phillips en México: ¿Existe una relación de largo plazo entre la inflación y la brecha del producto?

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandro Rodriguez Arana

    (Universidad Iberoamericana)

Abstract

Este trabajo estima una curva de Phillips para México, la cual surge de un esquema de fijación de precios donde se establecen relaciones clientelares entre compradores y vendedores (Rotemberg (1982)). La estimación anual entre 1969 y 2008 muestra que existe una relación de largo plazo donde la inflación depende positivamente del salario real, el tipo de cambio real y la brecha del producto. Sin embargo, se necesitarían fuertes aumentos permanentes de inflación para apenas lograr una pequeña mejora en las otras variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Rodriguez Arana, 2012. "La curva de Phillips en México: ¿Existe una relación de largo plazo entre la inflación y la brecha del producto?," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 9(1), pages 57-81, Enero-Jun.
  • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:57-81
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflación; curva de Phillips; brecha del producto;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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