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Determinantes del crecimiento del producto y del desempleo en Mexico, 1985.1-2008.4

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Loria

    () (Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico)

  • Jorge Ramirez

    (Universidad Autonoma del Estado de Mexico)

Abstract

Desde principios de los anos ochenta, la economia mexicana ha sufrido de bajo crecimiento. Basandonos en las aportaciones originales de Phillips (1958); Okun (1962); Stock y Watson (2001); Sims (1986) y Bernanke (1986) y en una microfundamentacion neokeynesiana, construimos un modelo estructural de vectores auto-regresivos (SVAR) con el cual, a traves de las innovaciones contemporaneas, encontramos las principales determinantes del crecimiento economico y el desempleo y los mecanismos de transmision de politica economica. Postulamos que tanto la Curva de Phillips como la Ley de Okun son validas para la economia mexicana en el periodo 1985.1-2008.4, por lo que existen margenes de actuacion de la politica monetaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Loria & Jorge Ramirez, 2008. "Determinantes del crecimiento del producto y del desempleo en Mexico, 1985.1-2008.4," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 5(1), pages 79-101, Julio - D.
  • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:5:y:2008:i:1:p:79-101
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    SVAR; Curva de Phillips neokeynesiana; Ley de Okun; crecimiento economico; desempleo; neutralidad monetaria.;

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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