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La production industrielle sous la IVe République

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  • Michel Catinat

Abstract

[fre] A partir d'un instrument nouveau, les comptes trimestriels de la période 1946-1962, cet article essaie de décrire les fluctuations économiques du système productif pendant la quatrième république. Il est centré uniquement sur les branches énergétiques (combustibles minéraux solides et gaz, électricité, pétrole, gaz naturel et carburants) et sur les branches industrielles (mines de fer et sidérurgie, minerais et métaux non ferreux, industries mécaniques et électriques, chimie et caoutchouc, textile-habillement-cuir, bois, papier et industries diverses). Simultanément, cet article tente d'analyser les déterminants des fluctuations de la production. Ils peuvent être de différentes natures : niveau de la demande, structures de prix ou contraintes diverses. Face à un environnement économique donné, les entreprises réagissent. De l'étude de ces réactions ou comportements, se dégagent des explications qui dépendent de la situation économique du moment. Pour ce faire, l'après-guerre a été découpé en six sous-périodes relativement homogènes du point de vue de la production : trois périodes de forte croissance (période 1946-1948, 1950- 1951, 1953-1957), entrecoupées de trois phases de stabilisation ou de diminution de l'activité économique (années 1949, 1952 et 1958). [spa] La producción industrial bajo la IVe Republica - Mediante un nuevo instrumento, las cuentas trimestrales del período 1946-1962, este artículo intenta describir las fluctuaciones económicas del sistema productivo en tiempos de la IVe Republica. Abarca tan sólo las ramas energéticas (combustibles minérales sólidos y gas, electricidad, petróleo, gas natural y carburantes) y las ramas industriales (minas de hierro y siderurgía, minérales y metales no férreos, industrias mecánicas y electricas, industria química y goma, textiles- vestido-cueros, madera, papel e industrias diversas). Al mismo tiempo, este articulo intenta analizar lo que determina las fluctuaciones de la producción. Puede resultar de diversas causas : nivel de la demanda, infraestructura de los precios o sujeciones diversas. Ante un medio ambiante económico dado, las empresas reaccionan. Se desprende del estudio de estas reacciones o comportamientos explicaciones que dependen de la situación económica del momento. A tal efecto, la posguerra esta distribuida en seis subperiodos relativamente homogéneos desde el punto de vista de la producción : tres períodos de intenso crecimiento (período 1946-1948, 1950-1951, 1953-1957), interrumpidos por tres fases de estabilización o de merma de la actividad económica (anos 1949, 1952 y 1958). [eng] The industrial production under the IVth Republic - Based on a new instrument — the quarterly accounts for the 1946-1962 period — this article attempts to describe the economic fluctuations of the productive system during the fourth Republic. It will focus only on the energy sector (coal and industrial gas, electricity, petroleum, natural gas, and fuels) and the industrial sector (iron mining and the steel industry; non-ferrous ores and metals; mechanical and electrical industries; the chemical and rubber industries; textiles, garments, and leather; wood; paper and miscellaneous industries). At the same time, this article attempts to analyse the determining factors of fluctuations in production. These can be of a different nature — for example, the level of demand, the structure of prices, or a number of other constraints. In the context of a given economic environment, firms have a definite reaction. Through a study of their behavior, one can arrive at explanations of their reactions in function of the economic situation of the moment. In order to accomplish this, the post-war period has been divided into six sub-periods which are relatively homogeneous from the point of view of production. According to this division, there are three periods of strong growth (1946-1948, 1950-1951, 1953-1957) interspersed with three phases in which economic activity stabilizes or diminishes (trie years 1949, 1952, and 1958).

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Catinat, 1981. "La production industrielle sous la IVe République," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 129(1), pages 17-36.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1981_num_129_1_4438
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1981.4438
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1981.4438
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    Cited by:

    1. Alan Kirman & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1990. "L'aide aux pays de l'Est : les leçons du plan Marshall," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 34(1), pages 281-325.

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