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Is Fiscal Adjustment More Durable When The IMF is Involved?1

Author

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  • Aleš Bulíř

    () (International Monetary Fund.)

  • Soojin Moon

    () (Department of Economics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.)

Abstract

This paper investigates fiscal developments in 112 countries during the 1990s. It finds that while the overall fiscal balance improved in most of them, the composition of this improvement differed. In countries without IMF-supported programmes, revenues increased modestly and expenditure declined sharply, while in programme countries both post-programme revenue and expenditure declined. However, in countries with programmes that included fiscal structural conditions, the adjustment was effected primarily through sharp expenditure compression. No evidence of a statistically significant impact of IMF conditionality was found. Moreover, fiscal developments were influenced by cyclical factors and by the general stance of macroeconomic policies. Comparative Economic Studies (2004) 46, 373–399. doi:10.1057/palgrave.ces.8100051

Suggested Citation

  • Aleš Bulíř & Soojin Moon, 2004. "Is Fiscal Adjustment More Durable When The IMF is Involved?1," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 46(3), pages 373-399, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:compes:v:46:y:2004:i:3:p:373-399
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    Cited by:

    1. Axel Dreher & Jan-Egbert Sturm & James Raymond Vreeland, 2006. "Does Membership on the UN Security Council Influence IMF Decisions? Evidence from Panel Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 1808, CESifo Group Munich.
    2. Rickard, Stephanie J. & Caraway, Teri L., 2018. "International demands for austerity: examining the impact of the IMF on the public sector," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86636, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Dreher, Axel & Sturm, Jan-Egbert & Vreeland, James Raymond, 2009. "Global horse trading: IMF loans for votes in the United Nations Security Council," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 742-757, October.

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