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Inversión Extranjera Directa y desarrollo humano en Colombia: el caso del sector minero energético (1990-2021)
[Foreign Direct Investment and human development in Colombia: the case of energy mining sector (1990-2021)]

Author

Listed:
  • Ricardo Alexander Apolinar Cárdenas

    (ESAP)

  • Pavel Vidal Alejandro

    (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana)

  • Javier Díaz Castro

    (Universidad de los Llanos y ESAP)

Abstract

El propósito principal de esta investigación fue el de analizar la relación entre la Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED) total y del sector minero energético en el desarrollo humano en Colombia de 1990 al 2021, por medio de la estimación de dos Vectores Autorregresivos -VAR-que dieron cuenta de la relación de causalidad de las variables. El primer vector tuvo en cuenta la IED total, mientras que el segundo se ocupó de la IED del sector minero energético que del2003 al 2010 representó, en promedio, un 55% de la IED total, siendo el año cumbre el 2010, cuando alcanzó el 76% de la misma. Además, se estimaron dos Vectores de Corrección de Error -VEC-como prueba de robustez que confirmaron los resultados obtenidos. En las dos estimaciones se tuvieron en cuenta como variables endógenas el Índice de Desarrollo Humano (IDH), la Inversión Extranjera Directa (IED) y el Índice de Tasa de Cambio Real (ITCR), mientras que los precios del petróleo referencia WTI a precios 2015 se consideraron exógenos. Como resultado se encontró que fue el IDH el que causó a la IED total, en el sentido de Granger, mientras que para la IED minero energética no se encontró significancia. De esta manera, un aumento en un 1% del IDH generó un incremento del 10,15% en la entrada de IED total.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Alexander Apolinar Cárdenas & Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Javier Díaz Castro, 2024. "Inversión Extranjera Directa y desarrollo humano en Colombia: el caso del sector minero energético (1990-2021) [Foreign Direct Investment and human development in Colombia: the case of energy minin," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 38, pages 1-31, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:38:y:2024:p:1-31
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.9610
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sector petrolero; desarrollo económico; capital humano; crisis; extractivo; Oil sector; economic development; human capital; crisis; extractive;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A13 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Social Values
    • B55 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Social Economics
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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