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A Q-Theory of Banks

Author

Listed:
  • Juliane Begenau
  • Saki Bigio
  • Jeremy Majerovitz
  • Matias Vieyra

Abstract

Bank capital requirements are based on book values, which are slow to reflect losses. In this article, we develop a dynamic model of banks to study the interaction of regulation and delayed accounting. Our model explains four stylized facts: book and market values diverge during crises, the market-to-book ratio predicts future profitability, book leverage constraints rarely bind strictly even as market leverage fans out during crises, and banks delever gradually after net-worth shocks. We show how delayed accounting can allow the regulator to achieve better outcomes than immediate (mark-to-market) accounting. In an estimated version of the model, the optimal regulation couples faster loan-loss recognition with a modest relaxation of the book leverage constraint.

Suggested Citation

  • Juliane Begenau & Saki Bigio & Jeremy Majerovitz & Matias Vieyra, 2026. "A Q-Theory of Banks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 93(1), pages 106-143.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:93:y:2026:i:1:p:106-143.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/restud/rdaf035
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kirstin Hubrich & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2022. "The Transmission of Financial Shocks and Leverage of Financial Institutions: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Framework," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    3. Barbaro, Bianca & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2021. "Forbearance vs foreclosure in a general equilibrium model," Working Paper Series 2531, European Central Bank.
    4. Reiter, Michael & Zessner-Spitzenberg, Leopold, 2023. "Long-term bank lending and the transfer of aggregate risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    5. Faria-e-Castro, Miguel & Paul, Pascal & Sánchez, Juan M., 2024. "Evergreening," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
      • Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Pascal Paul & Juan M. Sanchez, 2021. "Evergreening," Working Papers 2021-012, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Aug 2023.
      • Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Pascal Paul & Juan M. Sanchez, 2023. "Evergreening," Working Paper Series 2022-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    6. Christian Bittner & Rustam Jamilov & Farzad Saidi, 2025. "Assortative Matching, Interbank Markets, and Monetary Policy," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_642, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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