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Local warming and violent conflict in North and South Sudan

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-François Maystadt
  • Margherita Calderone
  • Liangzhi You

Abstract

Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24–31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-François Maystadt & Margherita Calderone & Liangzhi You, 2015. "Local warming and violent conflict in North and South Sudan," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 649-671.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jecgeo:v:15:y:2015:i:3:p:649-671.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeg/lbu033
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