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Long-term exposure to malaria and violence in Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Matteo Cervellati
  • Elena Esposito
  • Uwe Sunde
  • Simona Valmori

Abstract

This paper explores the existence of a link between the long-term exposure to malaria and the frequency of civil conflicts in Africa. Using geographically disaggregated data at the level of grid cells the analysis provides empirical evidence for a hump-shaped relationship between the long-run stability and force of malaria transmission and the incidence of civil violence. In line with epidemiological predictions about the acquired immunity to malaria, cells that are characterized by intermediate malaria exposure exhibit higher conflict incidence than cells with very low or very high malaria exposure. We explore the role of the expansion of anti-malaria policies after 2005 in the context of the Roll Back Malaria programme. The results provide suggestive evidence that anti-malaria interventions reduced the incidence of civil violence, but only in areas where adults lack acquired immunity to malaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Cervellati & Elena Esposito & Uwe Sunde & Simona Valmori, 2018. "Long-term exposure to malaria and violence in Africa," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 33(95), pages 403-446.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecpoli:v:33:y:2018:i:95:p:403-446.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/epolic/eiy008
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    Cited by:

    1. Cervellati, Matteo & Esposito, Elena & Sunde, Uwe & Yuan, Song, 2022. "Malaria and Chinese economic activities in Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Basedau, Matthias & Deitch, Mora, 2021. "One year after: Has the COVID-19 pandemic increased violence in sub-Saharan Africa?," GIGA Working Papers 327, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    3. Veras, Henrique, 2022. "Wrong place, wrong time: The long-run effects of in-utero exposure to malaria on educational attainment," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    4. Chi Jin & Bo Li & Zhaoying Ye & Pengcheng Xiang, 2021. "Identifying the Non-Traditional Safety Risk Paths of Employees from Chinese International Construction Companies in Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    D74; J1;

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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