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Are Government Bonds Net Wealth? Evidence for the United States

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  • Evans, Paul

Abstract

This paper investigates whether government bonds are viewed as net wealth. If they are, the nominal interest rate in steady-state equilibrium should be an increasing function of the government debt and of government spending. Using forward interest rates realized during World War II, this paper finds no evidence of such a relationship. These data afford an especially powerful test because the federal debt rose from 29 to 106 percent of trend output during the war. This enormous increase in government debt actually appears to have reduced forward interest rates by a statistically-significant, but small, amount. Copyright 1988 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Evans, Paul, 1988. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth? Evidence for the United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 26(4), pages 551-566, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:26:y:1988:i:4:p:551-66
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    Cited by:

    1. Normandin, Michel, 1999. "Budget deficit persistence and the twin deficits hypothesis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 171-193, October.
    2. Berument, Hakan, 1998. "Central Bank Independence and Financing Government Spending," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 133-151, January.
    3. Yu Hsing, 2010. "Government Borrowing And The Longterm Interest Rate: Application Of An Extended Loanable Funds Model To The Slovak Republic," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 55(184), pages 58-70, January –.
    4. Tito B.S. Moreira & Geraldo Silva Souza, 2009. "A Nominal Theory of the Nominal Rate of Interest and the Price Level: Some Empirical Evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 3120-3125.
    5. Yu Hsing, 2015. "Determinants of the Government Bond Yield in Spain: A Loanable Funds Model," International Journal of Financial Studies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 3(3), pages 1-9, July.

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