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Political and Economic Challenges of the Western Balkans in the EU Accession Process

Author

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  • Galya Mancheva

    () (University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria)

  • Elena Simeonova

    () (University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria)

Abstract

The study presents the results of a comprehensive study focusing on the political, economic and social aspects of the Western Balkan countries, with particular emphasis on the overall political risk environment within the EU accession process. For the purposes of the analysis, the well-known PEST analysis is modified to so-called PES (I) analysis. The survey covers a period of 10 years (2007-2017) and the countries of the Republic of Serbia, the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Republic of Montenegro, the Republic of Northern Macedonia and the Republic of Albania of the Western Balkans. The report is structured into three parts: 1) presentation and argumentation of the main variables of the PES (I) analysis; 2) implementation of the PES (I) analysis for the Western Balkan countries and data interpretation; 3) conclusions. The accession of the Western Balkans to the EU is a political rather than an economic issue. Moreover, the analysis shows that, from all the countries in the region, the Republic of Albania is best represented by making the most progress in economic and political terms and thus generating the lowest levels of political risk. While Serbian and Montenegrin leaders are "lagging behind", they are lagging behind the surveyed indicators and generating higher levels of political risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Galya Mancheva & Elena Simeonova, 2019. "Political and Economic Challenges of the Western Balkans in the EU Accession Process," Nauchni trudove, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 4, pages 45-71, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nwe:natrud:y:2019:i:4:p:45-71
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    political risk; Western Balkans; sovereign spreads; sovereign credit risk; credit rating;

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government

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