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Employment of registered unemployed older people during the period of retirement age increase

Author

Listed:
  • Giltman, M.

    (Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia)

  • Merzljakova, A.

    (Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia)

  • Obukhovich, N.

    (Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia)

  • Tokareva, O.

    (Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia)

Abstract

The increase in the retirement age, which began in 2019, led to the emergence of a number of benefits and advantages that pre-retirees can receive by registering at the Employment center as unemployed. In this paper an attempt is made to find out how successfully older people find employment after being in an episode of registered unemployment. For this purpose, the flows of transition between the formal statuses of "employed", "registered unemployed" and "unemployed" are analyzed in terms of gender, age, education, qualifications at the previous place of work etc. Using multinomial logistic regression the probabilities of being employed with lower, higher, or the same qualifications as in the previous job are estimated. The analysis is based on administrative microdata on registered unemployed for 2019-2023 provided by the Department of Labor and Employment of the Tyumen Region. The results showed that the age of older people moving into employment and unemployment is almost the same, while education is different. The availability of professional education, self-employment, the position of a skilled worker in a previous job and a number of other factors increase the likelihood of employment with the same or higher qualifications. The options for getting out of registered unemployment for older people differ for men and women.

Suggested Citation

  • Giltman, M. & Merzljakova, A. & Obukhovich, N. & Tokareva, O., 2026. "Employment of registered unemployed older people during the period of retirement age increase," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 71(2), pages 127-152.
    • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2026:i:71:p:127-152
    DOI: 10.31737/22212264_2026_2_127-152
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    JEL classification:

    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings

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