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Finance According to Greenspan

Author

Listed:
  • Mirkin, Yu.

    (Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

This article discusses the key issues of macroeconomics and finance, raised in a new book by Alan Greenspan "The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting" (2013). Firstly, the role of the state in economy, excessiveness of the government interventions, the need to clarify the Greenspan's position, taking into account very special "nature" of the emerging economies, sustainable patterns of collective behavior and long regulatory cycles. Secondly, the limitations to forecast the risk overconcentrations, market failures and crises, according to Greenspan, are discussed. Lastly, the role of the rational / irrational behavior in formation of the macroeconomic dynamics, as well as to what extent the monetary authorities could rely on long-term patterns and forecasting when influencing the economic growth and mitigating the financial risks in macro-space.

Suggested Citation

  • Mirkin, Yu., 2015. "Finance According to Greenspan," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 25(1), pages 212-217.
  • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2015:i:25:p:212-217
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    risk; forecasting; financial markets; role of the state; central bank; behavioral finance; human nature;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O42 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models

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