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A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat

Author

Listed:
  • Jeffrey V. Lazarus

    (Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal)
    University of Barcelona
    City University of New York Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy (CUNY SPH))

  • Diana Romero

    (City University of New York Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy (CUNY SPH))

  • Christopher J. Kopka

    (Independent Researcher)

  • Salim Abdool Karim

    (University of KwaZulu-Natal
    Centre for the AIDS Program of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA))

  • Laith J. Abu-Raddad

    (Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University
    Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City)

  • Gisele Almeida

    (Pan American Health Organisation)

  • Ricardo Baptista-Leite

    (UNITE Global Parliamentarians Network
    Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Maastricht University
    Institute of Health Sciences (CIIS), Catholic University of Portugal)

  • Joshua A. Barocas

    (University of Colorado School of Medicine)

  • Mauricio L. Barreto

    (Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)
    University of Bahia)

  • Yaneer Bar-Yam

    (New England Complex Systems Institute)

  • Quique Bassat

    (Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal)
    Manhiça Health Research Center (CISM)
    Catalan Institute for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA)
    University of Barcelona)

  • Carolina Batista

    (Doctors Without Borders (MSF)
    Baraka Impact Finance)

  • Morgan Bazilian

    (Payne Institute, Colorado School of Mines)

  • Shu-Ti Chiou

    (National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University)

  • Carlos Rio

    (Emory School of Medicine)

  • Gregory J. Dore

    (University of New South Wales (UNSW) Sydney)

  • George F. Gao

    (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • Lawrence O. Gostin

    (The O’Neill Institute for National and Global Health Law, Georgetown University)

  • Margaret Hellard

    (Burnet Institute)

  • Jose L. Jimenez

    (University of Colorado Boulder
    University of Colorado Boulder)

  • Gagandeep Kang

    (Christian Medical College (CMC))

  • Nancy Lee

    (Wilton Park)

  • Mojca Matičič

    (University Medical Centre
    University of Ljubljana)

  • Martin McKee

    (The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine)

  • Sabin Nsanzimana

    (University Teaching Hospital of Butare)

  • Miquel Oliu-Barton

    (Paris Dauphine University - PSL)

  • Bary Pradelski

    (French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS))

  • Oksana Pyzik

    (University College London (UCL))

  • Kenneth Rabin

    (City University of New York Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy (CUNY SPH))

  • Sunil Raina

    (Dr. Rajendra Prasad Government Medical College)

  • Sabina Faiz Rashid

    (BRAC University)

  • Magdalena Rathe

    (Plenitud Foundation)

  • Rocio Saenz

    (University of Costa Rica)

  • Sudhvir Singh

    (University of Auckland)

  • Malene Trock-Hempler

    (Independent Philosopher)

  • Sonia Villapol

    (Department of Neurosurgery, Houston Methodist Research Institute)

  • Peiling Yap

    (International Digital Health & AI Research Collaborative (I-DAIR))

  • Agnes Binagwaho

    (University of Global Health Equity)

  • Adeeba Kamarulzaman

    (University of Malaya)

  • Ayman El-Mohandes

    (City University of New York Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy (CUNY SPH))

Abstract

Despite notable scientific and medical advances, broader political, socioeconomic and behavioural factors continue to undercut the response to the COVID-19 pandemic1,2. Here we convened, as part of this Delphi study, a diverse, multidisciplinary panel of 386 academic, health, non-governmental organization, government and other experts in COVID-19 response from 112 countries and territories to recommend specific actions to end this persistent global threat to public health. The panel developed a set of 41 consensus statements and 57 recommendations to governments, health systems, industry and other key stakeholders across six domains: communication; health systems; vaccination; prevention; treatment and care; and inequities. In the wake of nearly three years of fragmented global and national responses, it is instructive to note that three of the highest-ranked recommendations call for the adoption of whole-of-society and whole-of-government approaches1, while maintaining proven prevention measures using a vaccines-plus approach2 that employs a range of public health and financial support measures to complement vaccination. Other recommendations with at least 99% combined agreement advise governments and other stakeholders to improve communication, rebuild public trust and engage communities3 in the management of pandemic responses. The findings of the study, which have been further endorsed by 184 organizations globally, include points of unanimous agreement, as well as six recommendations with >5% disagreement, that provide health and social policy actions to address inadequacies in the pandemic response and help to bring this public health threat to an end.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey V. Lazarus & Diana Romero & Christopher J. Kopka & Salim Abdool Karim & Laith J. Abu-Raddad & Gisele Almeida & Ricardo Baptista-Leite & Joshua A. Barocas & Mauricio L. Barreto & Yaneer Bar-Yam, 2022. "A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat," Nature, Nature, vol. 611(7935), pages 332-345, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:611:y:2022:i:7935:d:10.1038_s41586-022-05398-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05398-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Grimalda, Gianluca & Murtin, Fabrice & Pipke, David & Putterman, Louis & Sutter, Matthias, 2023. "The politicized pandemic: Ideological polarization and the behavioral response to COVID-19," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    2. Yong Ge & Xilin Wu & Wenbin Zhang & Xiaoli Wang & Die Zhang & Jianghao Wang & Haiyan Liu & Zhoupeng Ren & Nick W. Ruktanonchai & Corrine W. Ruktanonchai & Eimear Cleary & Yongcheng Yao & Amy Wesolowsk, 2023. "Effects of public-health measures for zeroing out different SARS-CoV-2 variants," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.

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