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Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations

Author

Listed:
  • Catherine Ritz

    (CNRS, LGGE
    Université Grenoble Alpes, LGGE)

  • Tamsin L. Edwards

    (Earth and Ecosystems, Faculty of Science, The Open University
    University of Bristol)

  • Gaël Durand

    (CNRS, LGGE
    Université Grenoble Alpes, LGGE)

  • Antony J. Payne

    (University of Bristol)

  • Vincent Peyaud

    (CNRS, LGGE
    Université Grenoble Alpes, LGGE)

  • Richard C. A. Hindmarsh

    (British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council)

Abstract

Recent work has suggested that sections of the West Antarctic ice sheet are already rapidly retreating, raising concerns about increased sea-level rise; now, an ice-sheet model is used to simulate the mass loss from the entire Antarctic ice sheet to 2200, suggesting that it could contribute up to 30 cm of sea-level rise by 2100 and 72 cm by 2200, but is unlikely to contribute more.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine Ritz & Tamsin L. Edwards & Gaël Durand & Antony J. Payne & Vincent Peyaud & Richard C. A. Hindmarsh, 2015. "Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations," Nature, Nature, vol. 528(7580), pages 115-118, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:528:y:2015:i:7580:d:10.1038_nature16147
    DOI: 10.1038/nature16147
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    Cited by:

    1. Jasper Verschuur & Dewi Bars & Caroline A. Katsman & Sierd de Vries & Roshanka Ranasinghe & Sybren S. Drijfhout & Stefan G. J. Aarninkhof, 2020. "Implications of ambiguity in Antarctic ice sheet dynamics for future coastal erosion estimates: a probabilistic assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 859-876, September.
    2. Tony E. Wong & Alexander M. R. Bakker & Klaus Keller, 2017. "Impacts of Antarctic fast dynamics on sea-level projections and coastal flood defense," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 347-364, September.
    3. Jérémy Rohmer & Gonéri Cozannet & Jean-Charles Manceau, 2019. "Addressing ambiguity in probabilistic assessments of future coastal flooding using possibility distributions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 155(1), pages 95-109, July.

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