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Tropical cyclones and permanent El Niño in the early Pliocene epoch

Author

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  • Alexey V. Fedorov

    (Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06520, USA)

  • Christopher M. Brierley

    (Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06520, USA)

  • Kerry Emanuel

    (Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, USA)

Abstract

Tropical cyclones maintained permanent 'El Niño' in early Pliocene The early Pliocene (5 to 3 million years ago) is the period in the geological past believed to be the closest analogue to contemporary global warming. Palaeoclimate data suggest that there were persistent El Niño-like conditions with near-constant sea surface temperatures across the tropical Pacific. Alexey Fedorov and colleagues use a coupled climate model and a hurricane model to show that hurricanes were probably much more frequent at this time, especially in the central Pacific where today there are virtually none, and that this hurricane activity may have strengthened warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific by about 3°C, further increasing hurricane frequency.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey V. Fedorov & Christopher M. Brierley & Kerry Emanuel, 2010. "Tropical cyclones and permanent El Niño in the early Pliocene epoch," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7284), pages 1066-1070, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:463:y:2010:i:7284:d:10.1038_nature08831
    DOI: 10.1038/nature08831
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Qiyan & Liu, Yanxing & Cao, Yuhao & Li, Zhengyuan & Hou, Jiachen & Gou, Xiang, 2023. "Parametric study and optimization of MEA-based carbon capture for a coal and biomass co-firing power plant," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 838-850.

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