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Threatened loss of the Greenland ice-sheet

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan M. Gregory

    (Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading
    Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met Office)

  • Philippe Huybrechts

    (Vrije Universiteit Brussel
    Alfred-Wegener-Institut für Polar- und Meeresforschung)

  • Sarah C. B. Raper

    (Alfred-Wegener-Institut für Polar- und Meeresforschung)

Abstract

The Greenland ice-sheet would melt faster in a warmer climate and is likely to be eliminated — except for residual glaciers in the mountains — if the annual average temperature in Greenland increases by more than about 3 °C. This could raise the global average sea-level by 7 metres over a period of 1,000 years or more. We show here that concentrations of greenhouse gases will probably have reached levels before the year 2100 that are sufficient to raise the temperature past this warming threshold.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan M. Gregory & Philippe Huybrechts & Sarah C. B. Raper, 2004. "Threatened loss of the Greenland ice-sheet," Nature, Nature, vol. 428(6983), pages 616-616, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:428:y:2004:i:6983:d:10.1038_428616a
    DOI: 10.1038/428616a
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    Cited by:

    1. James A. Brander, 2007. "Viewpoint: Sustainability: Malthus revisited?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 1-38, February.
    2. Umer Khayyam, 2020. "Floods: impacts on livelihood, economic status and poverty in the north-west region of Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(3), pages 1033-1056, July.
    3. Alain Ayong Le Kama & Aude Pommeret, 2017. "Supplementing Domestic Mitigation and Adaptation with Emissions Reduction Abroad to Face Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(4), pages 875-891, December.
    4. Pearce, Joshua M. & Johnson, Sara J. & Grant, Gabriel B., 2007. "3D-mapping optimization of embodied energy of transportation," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 435-453.
    5. Joseph Donoghue, 2011. "Sea level history of the northern Gulf of Mexico coast and sea level rise scenarios for the near future," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 17-33, July.
    6. Naomi Vaughan & Timothy Lenton, 2011. "A review of climate geoengineering proposals," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 745-790, December.
    7. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.
    8. Wilhelm May, 2012. "Assessing the strength of regional changes in near-surface climate associated with a global warming of 2°C," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 619-644, February.

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