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Climate change related to egg-laying trends

Author

Listed:
  • Humphrey Q. P. Crick

    (British Trust for Ornithology, The National Centre for Ornithology)

  • Timothy H. Sparks

    (Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Monks Wood, Abbots Ripton)

Abstract

Analysis of 20 species of UK breeding birds over a 25-year period found a long-term trend towards earlier egg-laying1. Further studies have correlated such trends with spring temperatures (one species)2 or the North Atlantic Oscillation (three species)3. We have studied a data set spanning 57 years and find that laying date is related to temperature or rainfall for 31 of 36 species (86%), and that 53% of species show long-term trends in laying date over time, of which 37% can be statistically accounted for by changes in climate. These data provide evidence for the large-scale impact of rising temperatures on wildlife. Our analysis of a UKCIP98 national-level climate scenario4 predicts that average laying dates will be even earlier for 75% of species by the year 2080.

Suggested Citation

  • Humphrey Q. P. Crick & Timothy H. Sparks, 1999. "Climate change related to egg-laying trends," Nature, Nature, vol. 399(6735), pages 423-423, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:399:y:1999:i:6735:d:10.1038_20839
    DOI: 10.1038/20839
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    Cited by:

    1. Xinyan Mao & Xinyu Guo & Yucheng Wang & Katsumi Takayama, 2019. "Influences of Global Warming on the Larval Survival and Transport of Snow Crab ( Chionoecetes opilio ) in the Sea of Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.
    2. McRae, Brad H. & Schumaker, Nathan H. & McKane, Robert B. & Busing, Richard T. & Solomon, Allen M. & Burdick, Connie A., 2008. "A multi-model framework for simulating wildlife population response to land-use and climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 77-91.
    3. Maggini, Ramona & Lehmann, Anthony & Kéry, Marc & Schmid, Hans & Beniston, Martin & Jenni, Lukas & Zbinden, Niklaus, 2011. "Are Swiss birds tracking climate change?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 21-32.

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