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SARS-CoV-2 rebound and post-acute mortality and hospitalization among patients admitted with COVID-19: cohort study

Author

Listed:
  • Ka Chun Chong

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Yuchen Wei

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Katherine Min Jia

    (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health)

  • Christopher Boyer

    (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health)

  • Guozhang Lin

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Huwen Wang

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Conglu Li

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Chi Tim Hung

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Xiaoting Jiang

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Carrie Ho Kwan Yam

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Tsz Yu Chow

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Yawen Wang

    (The University of Hong Kong)

  • Shi Zhao

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong
    Tianjin Medical University)

  • Kehang Li

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Aimin Yang

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Chris Ka Pun Mok

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • David SC Hui

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Eng Kiong Yeoh

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Zihao Guo

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

Recent investigations have demonstrated a relationship between the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 and post-COVID-19 conditions. Building upon a potential connection between SARS-CoV-2 persistence and early virologic rebound, we examine the association of early virologic rebound with post-acute mortality and hospitalization due to post-acute sequelae among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Hong Kong. Our study includes 13,859, 3959, and 4502 patients in the all-patient, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, and molnupiravir group, respectively. Results show that patients who experienced virologic rebound exhibited a significantly higher risk of post-acute mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36–1.70) with a risk difference [RD] of 7.19%, compared with patients without virologic rebound. A similar increase in the risk of post-acute mortality is also observed in nirmatrelvir/ritonavir-treated patients (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.41–2.25; RD, 12.55%) and molnupiravir-treated patients (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.18–1.82; RD, 4.90%). The virologic rebound may thus serve as an early marker for post-COVID-19 condition, enabling healthcare officials to monitor and provide timely intervention for long COVID.

Suggested Citation

  • Ka Chun Chong & Yuchen Wei & Katherine Min Jia & Christopher Boyer & Guozhang Lin & Huwen Wang & Conglu Li & Chi Tim Hung & Xiaoting Jiang & Carrie Ho Kwan Yam & Tsz Yu Chow & Yawen Wang & Shi Zhao & , 2025. "SARS-CoV-2 rebound and post-acute mortality and hospitalization among patients admitted with COVID-19: cohort study," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-61737-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-61737-7
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    1. Sydney R. Stein & Sabrina C. Ramelli & Alison Grazioli & Joon-Yong Chung & Manmeet Singh & Claude Kwe Yinda & Clayton W. Winkler & Junfeng Sun & James M. Dickey & Kris Ylaya & Sung Hee Ko & Andrew P. , 2022. "SARS-CoV-2 infection and persistence in the human body and brain at autopsy," Nature, Nature, vol. 612(7941), pages 758-763, December.
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