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El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries

Author

Listed:
  • Jinbao Li

    (University of Hong Kong
    International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

  • Shang-Ping Xie

    (International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa
    Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego
    Physical Oceanography Laboratory and Ocean–Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Laboratory, Ocean University of China)

  • Edward R. Cook

    (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades)

  • Mariano S. Morales

    (Instituto Argentino de Nivologı´a, Glaciologı´a y Ciencias Ambientales (IANIGLA), CCT-CONICET)

  • Duncan A. Christie

    (Laboratorio de Dendrocronologı´a y Cambio Global, Instituto de Conservación Biodiversidad y Territorio, Facultad de Ciencias Forestales y Recursos Naturales, Universidad Austral de Chile
    Center for Climate and Resilience Research [CR]2)

  • Nathaniel C. Johnson

    (International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

  • Fahu Chen

    (MOE Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental System, Lanzhou University)

  • Rosanne D’Arrigo

    (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades)

  • Anthony M. Fowler

    (School of Environment, The University of Auckland)

  • Xiaohua Gou

    (MOE Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental System, Lanzhou University)

  • Keyan Fang

    (MOE Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental System, Lanzhou University)

Abstract

The El Niño/Southern Oscillation exhibits considerable natural variability on interdecadal to centennial timescales making it difficult to understand how climate change affects it. A reconstruction now shows there has been anomalously high activity in the late twentieth century, relative to the past seven centuries. This is suggestive of a response to global warming, and will provide constraints to improve climate models and projections.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinbao Li & Shang-Ping Xie & Edward R. Cook & Mariano S. Morales & Duncan A. Christie & Nathaniel C. Johnson & Fahu Chen & Rosanne D’Arrigo & Anthony M. Fowler & Xiaohua Gou & Keyan Fang, 2013. "El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 822-826, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate1936
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1936
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    Cited by:

    1. Yenan Wu & Di Long & Upmanu Lall & Bridget R. Scanlon & Fuqiang Tian & Xudong Fu & Jianshi Zhao & Jianyun Zhang & Hao Wang & Chunhong Hu, 2022. "Reconstructed eight-century streamflow in the Tibetan Plateau reveals contrasting regional variability and strong nonstationarity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Feng Zhu & Julien Emile-Geay & Kevin J. Anchukaitis & Gregory J. Hakim & Andrew T. Wittenberg & Mariano S. Morales & Matthew Toohey & Jonathan King, 2022. "A re-appraisal of the ENSO response to volcanism with paleoclimate data assimilation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Philippa A. Higgins & Jonathan G. Palmer & Martin S. Andersen & Christian S. M. Turney & Fiona Johnson, 2023. "Extreme events in the multi-proxy South Pacific drought atlas," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(8), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Feng Chen & Hadad Martín & Xiaoen Zhao & Fidel Roig & Heli Zhang & Shijie Wang & Weipeng Yue & Youping Chen, 2022. "Abnormally low precipitation-induced ecological imbalance contributed to the fall of the Ming Dynasty: new evidence from tree rings," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(1), pages 1-16, July.

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