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Upper bounds on twenty-first-century Antarctic ice loss assessed using a probabilistic framework

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher M. Little

    (Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University)

  • Michael Oppenheimer

    (Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University
    Princeton University)

  • Nathan M. Urban

    (Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University
    Computational Physics and Methods (CCS-2), Los Alamos National Laboratory)

Abstract

Estimating the probable magnitude of future sea-level rise under global warming is complicated by a limited understanding of long-term ice-sheet dynamics. This study presents a probabilistic approach for assessing upper bounds on twenty-first-century Antarctic ice-sheet loss, and its effect on sea level.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher M. Little & Michael Oppenheimer & Nathan M. Urban, 2013. "Upper bounds on twenty-first-century Antarctic ice loss assessed using a probabilistic framework," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 654-659, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate1845
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1845
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    Cited by:

    1. A. Slangen & M. Carson & C. Katsman & R. van de Wal & A. Köhl & L. Vermeersen & D. Stammer, 2014. "Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 317-332, May.

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