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Predicted habitat shifts of Pacific top predators in a changing climate

Author

Listed:
  • Elliott L. Hazen

    (NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center
    Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

  • Salvador Jorgensen

    (Monterey Bay Aquarium)

  • Ryan R. Rykaczewski

    (Princeton University)

  • Steven J. Bograd

    (NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center)

  • David G. Foley

    (NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center
    Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, University of Hawaii at Manoa)

  • Ian D. Jonsen

    (Dalhousie University)

  • Scott A. Shaffer

    (San Jose State University)

  • John P. Dunne

    (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

  • Daniel P. Costa

    (University of California, Santa Cruz, Long Marine Laboratory)

  • Larry B. Crowder

    (Stanford University
    Center for Ocean Solutions)

  • Barbara A. Block

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

Climate change scenarios predict an average sea surface temperature rise of 1–6 °C by 2100. Now, a study investigating the potential effect of these changes on the distribution and diversity of marine top predators finds that, based on data from electronic tags on 23 marine species, a change in core habitat range of up to 35% is possible for some species by 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Elliott L. Hazen & Salvador Jorgensen & Ryan R. Rykaczewski & Steven J. Bograd & David G. Foley & Ian D. Jonsen & Scott A. Shaffer & John P. Dunne & Daniel P. Costa & Larry B. Crowder & Barbara A. Blo, 2013. "Predicted habitat shifts of Pacific top predators in a changing climate," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(3), pages 234-238, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate1686
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1686
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    Cited by:

    1. Anderson, James J. & Gurarie, Eliezer & Bracis, Chloe & Burke, Brian J. & Laidre, Kristin L., 2013. "Modeling climate change impacts on phenology and population dynamics of migratory marine species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 264(C), pages 83-97.
    2. Mariana Fuentes & Lynda Chambers & Andrew Chin & Peter Dann & Kirstin Dobbs & Helene Marsh & Elvira Poloczanska & Kim Maison & Malcolm Turner & Robert Pressey, 2016. "Adaptive management of marine mega-fauna in a changing climate," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 209-224, February.
    3. Beltran, Roxanne S. & Testa, J. Ward & Burns, Jennifer M., 2017. "An agent-based bioenergetics model for predicting impacts of environmental change on a top marine predator, the Weddell seal," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 351(C), pages 36-50.
    4. Andrew J Allyn & Michael A Alexander & Bradley S Franklin & Felix Massiot-Granier & Andrew J Pershing & James D Scott & Katherine E Mills, 2020. "Comparing and synthesizing quantitative distribution models and qualitative vulnerability assessments to project marine species distributions under climate change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-28, April.

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