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Response of corn markets to climate volatility under alternative energy futures

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  • Noah S. Diffenbaugh

    (Stanford University
    Purdue University
    Purdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University)

  • Thomas W. Hertel

    (Purdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University
    Purdue University)

  • Martin Scherer

    (Stanford University)

  • Monika Verma

    (Stanford University
    Purdue University)

Abstract

Several factors can either increase or buffer the effects of climate change on the volatility of grain prices. A study shows that US corn price volatility is more sensitive to near-term climate change than to energy policy or agriculture–energy market integration. A biofuels mandate increases price sensitivity to climate change by more than 50%.

Suggested Citation

  • Noah S. Diffenbaugh & Thomas W. Hertel & Martin Scherer & Monika Verma, 2012. "Response of corn markets to climate volatility under alternative energy futures," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(7), pages 514-518, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:2:y:2012:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate1491
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1491
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Philip Abbott, 2014. "Biofuels, Binding Constraints, and Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 91-131, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Brown, Molly & Antle, John & Backlund, Peter & Carr, Edward & Easterling, Bill & Walsh, Margaret & Ammann, Caspar & Attavanich, Witsanu & Barrett, Chris & Bellemare, Marc & Dancheck, Violet & Funk, Ch, 2015. "Climate Change, Global Food Security and the U.S. Food System," MPRA Paper 105772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Zhao, Xin & Calvin, Katherine & Patel, Pralit & Abigail, Snyder & Wise, Marshall & Waldhoff, Stephanie & Hejazi, Mohamad & Edmonds, James, 2021. "Impacts of interannual climate and biophysical variability on global agriculture markets," Conference papers 333245, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Erik Nelson & Virginia Matzek, 2016. "Carbon Credits Compete Poorly With Agricultural Commodities In An Optimized Model Of Land Use In Northern California," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(04), pages 1-24, November.
    10. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Co-movements between heterogeneous crude oil and food markets: Does temperature change really matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    11. Francisco Costa & Fabien Forge & Jason Garred & João Paulo Pessoa, 2023. "The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(1), pages 1-27, May.
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    14. Tran, A. Nam & Welch, Jarrod R. & Lobell, David & Roberts, Michael J. & Schlenker, Wolfram, 2012. "Commodity Prices and Volatility in Response to Anticipated Climate Change," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124827, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Walsh, Michael J. & Gerber Van Doren, Léda & Shete, Nilam & Prakash, Akshay & Salim, Usama, 2018. "Financial tradeoffs of energy and food uses of algal biomass under stochastic conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 591-603.
    16. Hao, Na & Colson, Gregory & Seong, Byeongchan & Park, Cheolwoo & Wetzstein, Michael, 2015. "Drought, ethanol, and livestock," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 301-307.
    17. Agie Wandala Putra & Jatna Supriatna & Raldi Hendro Koestoer & Tri Edhi Budhi Soesilo, 2021. "Differences in Local Rice Price Volatility, Climate, and Macroeconomic Determinants in the Indonesian Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-21, April.
    18. Thompson, Wyatt & Lu, Yaqiong & Gerlt, Scott & Yang, Xianyu & Campbell, J. Elliott & Kueppers, Lara M. & Snyder, Mark A., 2018. "Automatic Responses of Crop Stocks and Policies Buffer Climate Change Effects on Crop Markets and Price Volatility," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 98-105.
    19. John Weyant, 2017. "Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 11(1), pages 115-137.
    20. Torshizi, Mohammad & Gray, Richard, 2022. "Adaptability and variety adoption: Implications for plant breeding policy in a changing climate," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.
    21. Nong, Duy & Nguyen, Trung H. & Wang, Can & Van Khuc, Quy, 2020. "The environmental and economic impact of the emissions trading scheme (ETS) in Vietnam," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    22. Ehsanreza Sajedinia & Wallace E. Tyner, 2021. "Use of General Equilibrium Models in Evaluating Biofuels Policies," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Dixon & Joseph Francois & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe (ed.), POLICY ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel, chapter 14, pages 437-465, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    23. Nong, Duy, 2020. "Development of the electricity-environmental policy CGE model (GTAP-E-PowerS): A case of the carbon tax in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    24. Hervé OTT, 2012. "Fertilizer markets and its interplay with commodity and food prices," JRC Research Reports JRC73043, Joint Research Centre.
    25. Abokyi, Emmanuel & Asiedu, Kofi Fred, 2021. "Agricultural policy and commodity price stabilisation in Ghana: The role of buffer stockholding operations," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(4), December.

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