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The short-term effects of Emilia's earthquake on regional economic growth

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Listed:
  • Guglielmo Barone
  • Federica Benni
  • Cristina Brasili
  • Sauro Mocetti

Abstract

Between May and June 2012 a series of earthquakes occurred in the Po Valley in Emilia, causing deaths and widespread damages to buildings and manufacturing plants. The negative economic consequences include, beyond direct damages, also indirect costs (e.g. economic loss through production chains with the damaged firms). This paper estimates the overall short-term impact on the GDP growth rate of Emilia-Romagna, the mostly affected region. Using a difference-in-differences approach and a coincident indicator of monthly economic cycle, we estimate a 0.2 percentage points reduction of economic growth rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Barone & Federica Benni & Cristina Brasili & Sauro Mocetti, 2013. "The short-term effects of Emilia's earthquake on regional economic growth," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 199-214.
  • Handle: RePEc:mul:je8794:doi:10.1429/76223:y:2013:i:2:p:199-214
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Earthquake; Economic Growth; Difference-in-Differences. JEL classification: R11; Q54.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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