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From Financial Repression to External Distress: The Case of Venezuela

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  • Carmen M. Reinhart
  • Miguel Angel Santos

Abstract

Recent work suggests a connection between domestic debt and external default. We examine potential linkages for Venezuela, where the evidence reveals a nexus among domestic debt, financial repression, and external vulnerability. The financial repression tax (as a share of GDP) is similar to OECD economies, in spite of higher debt ratios in the latter. The financial repression “tax rate” is higher in years of exchange controls and legislated interest rate ceilings. We document a link between domestic disequilibrium and a weakening of the net foreign asset position via private capital flight. We suggest these findings are not unique to Venezuela.

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  • Carmen M. Reinhart & Miguel Angel Santos, 2016. "From Financial Repression to External Distress: The Case of Venezuela," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(2), pages 255-284, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:52:y:2016:i:2:p:255-284
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2015.1105614
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    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni B. Pittaluga & Elena Seghezza & Pierluigi Morelli, 2021. "The political economy of hyperinflation in Venezuela," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 186(3), pages 337-350, March.
    2. Jorge Jraissati & Keith Jakee, 2022. "Venezuela's collapse: Exogenous shock or institutional design?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 344-360, June.
    3. Elissa Braunstein, 2018. "Financial crises among emerging and developing economies in the modern era: A brief history and some stylized themes," Chapters, in: Gerald A. Epstein (ed.), The Political Economy of International Finance in an Age of Inequality, chapter 2, pages 14-29, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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