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Interest Rates and Stock Prices: Evidence from Central and Eastern European Markets

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  • Ovidiu Stoica
  • Anca Nucu
  • Delia-Elena Diaconasu

Abstract

We provide empirical evidence regarding the responses of Central and Eastern European capital markets to monetary policy via domestic and international short-term interest rate shocks. The analysis is conducted using a four-variable structural vector error correction model identified by means of permanent-transitory restrictions. The results indicate a noticeable effect of the international interest rate on stock market indexes in the cases of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. Since no monetary policy autonomy exists in Bulgaria, Latvia, and Lithuania, we find support only for the inverse relationship between foreign interest rate and stock index prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Ovidiu Stoica & Anca Nucu & Delia-Elena Diaconasu, 2014. "Interest Rates and Stock Prices: Evidence from Central and Eastern European Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(S4), pages 47-62.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:50:y:2014:i:s4:p:47-62
    DOI: 10.2753/REE1540-496X5004S403
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    Cited by:

    1. Pasrun Adam & Ambo Wonua Nusantara & Abd AzisMuthalib, 2017. "Foreign Interest Ratesand the IslamicStock Market Integration between Indonesia and Malaysia," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 21(3), pages 639-659, Summer.
    2. Yutaka Kurihara & Akio Fukushima & Shinichiro Maeda, 2020. "Can Bitcoin’S Price Be A Predictor Of Stock Prices?," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 5(4), pages 50-55, April.
    3. Afsin Sahin, 2019. "Loom of Symmetric Pass-Through," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, February.
    4. NUHIU Artor & ALIU Florin & ALIU Fisnik & HOTI Arbër, 2023. "Measuring Market Efficiency Through Valuation Techniques: The Case Of Visegrad Countries Stock Markets," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 18(1), pages 198-217, April.
    5. Florin Aliu & Adriana Knápková & Hoang Khang Tran & Bashkim Nurboja, 2020. "Modeling the Equilibrium Price of the Companies Listed in the Prague Stock Exchange," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 68(4), pages 731-739.

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