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Testing for Structural Change in the Nontradable Share Reform of the Chinese Stock Market

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  • Fang Huang
  • Jun Su
  • Terence Tai-Leung Chong

Abstract

We test for structural change in the Chinese stock-price level caused by the nontradable share (NTS) reform. Using the net-of-market-trend stock-price series, we found that the NTS reform drives stock prices up in more than two-thirds of the cases. For the twenty-oneâday window, the effect of the NTS reform is significant. Half of the stock prices have a shift right after readmission. It is also found that stocks with bonus-share distribution proportion between 15 percent and 20 percent are more likely to have a downward shift in price than those with other proportions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fang Huang & Jun Su & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2008. "Testing for Structural Change in the Nontradable Share Reform of the Chinese Stock Market," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 24-33, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:41:y:2008:i:2:p:24-33
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    Cited by:

    1. Beltratti, Andrea & Bortolotti, Bernardo & Caccavaio, Marianna, 2016. "Stock market efficiency in China: Evidence from the split-share reform," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 125-137.
    2. Terence Tai-Leung Chong & Nasha Li & Lin Zou, 2017. "A New Approach to Modeling Sector Stock Returns in China," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(5), pages 305-322, September.
    3. Chong, Terence Tai-Leung & Lam, Tau-Hing & Yan, Isabel Kit-Ming, 2012. "Is the Chinese stock market really inefficient?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 122-137.
    4. Hong, Hui & Chen, Naiwei & O’Brien, Fergal & Ryan, James, 2018. "Stock return predictability and model instability: Evidence from mainland China and Hong Kong," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 132-142.
    5. Danli Wang & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2017. "Political Turnover and the Stock Performance of SOEs in China," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 21-33, January.

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