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Financial Contagion: A Methodology for its Evaluation using Asymptotic Dependence Coefficients

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  • Jorge Uribe

Abstract

A recently developed methodology, based on asymptotic dependence coefficients, is proposed to detect financial market contagion. The approach, while remaining within the theoretical limits of the problem, is robust when compared against common statistical approximation criteria such as Pearson coefficients and vector autoregressions. The technique is applied to evaluate the historical performance of the main financial markets in Colombia, namely public bonds, stocks, money and the exchange rate. In broad terms, no signs of financial contagion were detected even after the world financial crisis of 2007- 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Uribe, 2011. "Financial Contagion: A Methodology for its Evaluation using Asymptotic Dependence Coefficients," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 75, pages 29-57.
  • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2011:i:75:p:29-57
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial contagion; copulas; MGARCH; extreme dependence; financial markets; Colombia;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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