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Predicción de multiplicadores monetarios en Colombia, Ecuador y Venezuela

Author

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  • Tomas M Fullerton
  • Ajay Kapur

Abstract

Numerous studies have been published regarding the predictability of money multipliers in industrialized nations, but not for developing economies where inflation is frequently a serious problem. This empirical study applies univariate ARMA techniques used in the U.S. and the Netherlands to model money multipliers in three South American economies. Dynamic simulations with the resulting equations compare favorably with random walk forecasts of the multipliers in each economy. Results indicate that policy analysts in developing countries can utilize Box-Jenkins techniques to help implement monetary policy

Suggested Citation

  • Tomas M Fullerton & Ajay Kapur, 1991. "Predicción de multiplicadores monetarios en Colombia, Ecuador y Venezuela," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 35, pages 53-86.
  • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:1991:i:35:p:53-86
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Eiichi Araki, 2004. "New Directions in Latin American Macroeconometrics," Development and Comp Systems 0408002, EconWPA.
    2. Thomas M Fullerton Jr & Sylvanus I Ikhide, 2004. "An Econometric Analysis of the Nigerian Consumer Price Index," Development and Comp Systems 0407010, EconWPA.

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