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Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Fragile Konjunkturerholung

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Abstract

This text summarises the 2020 autumn forecast of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, dated 22 October 2020. We first discuss the COVID-19 pandemic and our assumptions for this forecast. After this, we focus on the recent economic developments abroad and in Switzerland as well as the monetary and fiscal policy framework for the Swiss economy. We then present the main forecast results across the various sectors of the Swiss economy. The final section consists of a comprehensive data appendix.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan-Egbert Sturm & Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Müh, 2020. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Fragile Konjunkturerholung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(3), pages 1-78, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:14:y:2020:i:3:p:1-78
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000447330
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    Keywords

    Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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