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Reexamining momentum profits: Underreaction or overreaction to firm-specific information?

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  • Jungshik Hur
  • Vivek Singh

Abstract

We design a new measure and find that the predictability of past returns on future returns increases as stocks respond with delay to firm-specific information. Our results suggest that momentum is caused by both investors’ underreaction and overreaction to information. However, underreaction to information seems to be the primary cause, particularly during the more recent period. Our findings are robust for recent explanations of momentum profits and alternative methods for computing our measure. We also find that stocks respond with delay to firm-specific information, partly due to certain firm characteristics, and partly because they escape investor attention due to their low visibility. Our paper extends and refines Jegadeesh and Titman’s (J Financ 56(2):699–720, 2001 ) finding that momentum profits are consistent with behavioral models’ predictions regarding investors’ overreaction. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2016

Suggested Citation

  • Jungshik Hur & Vivek Singh, 2016. "Reexamining momentum profits: Underreaction or overreaction to firm-specific information?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 261-289, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:46:y:2016:i:2:p:261-289
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-014-0469-x
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bin Wang & Wonseok Choi & Ibrahim Siraj, 2018. "Local investor attention and post-earnings announcement drift," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 219-252, July.
    2. Klaus Grobys & Sami Vähämaa, 0. "Another look at value and momentum: volatility spillovers," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-21.
    3. Mostafa Saidur Rahim Khan, 2017. "Market States and Momentum: Evidence from the Dhaka Stock Exchange," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(02), pages 1-19, June.
    4. Ruanmin Cao & Lajos Horváth & Zhenya Liu & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "A study of data-driven momentum and disposition effects in the Chinese stock market by functional data analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 335-358, January.
    5. Klaus Grobys & Sami Vähämaa, 2020. "Another look at value and momentum: volatility spillovers," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1459-1479, November.
    6. Alex YiHou Huang & Ming-Che Hu & Quang Thai Truong, 2021. "Asymmetrical impacts from overnight returns on stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 849-889, April.
    7. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Yang, Lu & Luo, Sijia, 2022. "Information disclosure ratings and continuing overreaction: Evidence from the Chinese capital market," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 638-656.
    8. Hua Wu & Taiwen Feng & Wenbo Jiang & Ting Kong, 2022. "Environmental Penalties, Investor Attention and Stock Market Reaction: Moderating Roles of Air Pollution and Industry Saliency," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(5), pages 1-27, February.
    9. Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Li, Xiao & Pattnaik, Debidutta & Sharma, Anuj, 2022. "Foundations and research clusters in investor attention: Evidence from bibliometric and topic modelling analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 511-529.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Momentum; Cointegration; Underreaction; Overreaction; G12; G14; G20;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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