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N-BEATS Perceiver: A Novel Approach for Robust Cryptocurrency Portfolio Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Attilio Sbrana

    (Aeronautics Institute of Technology (ITA))

  • Paulo André Lima de Castro

    (Aeronautics Institute of Technology (ITA))

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for forecasting cryptocurrency portfolios, harnessing modified versions of the N-BEATS deep learning architecture, integrated with convolutional network layers, Transformer mechanisms, and the Mish activation function. Our thorough evaluation, featuring an extensive sample size exceeding 4 million portfolio test samples, shows these variations outperforming traditional and other deep learning forecasting methods across various metrics. Particularly noteworthy is our N-BEATS Perceiver model, a Transformer-based variation, which not only delivers superior forecast accuracy but also exhibits a robust risk profile with less downside. Furthermore, the model performs exceptionally well under the TOPSIS method across a broad spectrum of portfolio evaluation parameters, making it a valuable asset for both portfolio selection and risk management in the dynamic cryptocurrency market.

Suggested Citation

  • Attilio Sbrana & Paulo André Lima de Castro, 2024. "N-BEATS Perceiver: A Novel Approach for Robust Cryptocurrency Portfolio Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 1047-1081, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:64:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10470-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-023-10470-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Georgios Tzagkarakis & Frantz Maurer, 2022. "Horizon-Adaptive Extreme Risk Quantification for Cryptocurrency Assets," Post-Print hal-03953953, HAL.
    2. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & David Martinez-Rego & Fan Wu & Lingbo Li, 2022. "Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-59, December.
    3. Chuen Yik Kang & Chin Poo Lee & Kian Ming Lim, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Price Prediction with Convolutional Neural Network and Stacked Gated Recurrent Unit," Data, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-13, October.
    4. Stephen Chan & Saralees Nadarajah, 2019. "Risk: An R Package for Financial Risk Measures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1337-1351, April.
    5. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & Lingbo Li & David Martinez-Regoband & Fan Wu, 2020. "Cryptocurrency Trading: A Comprehensive Survey," Papers 2003.11352, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
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    Cited by:

    1. Laszlo Vancsura & Tibor Tatay & Tibor Bareith, 2024. "Investigating the Role of Activation Functions in Predicting the Price of Cryptocurrencies during Critical Economic Periods," Virtual Economics, The London Academy of Science and Business, vol. 7(4), pages 64-91, December.
    2. Gustavo de Freitas Fonseca & Lucas Coelho e Silva & Paulo André Lima de Castro, 2026. "Improving Portfolio Optimization Results with Bandit Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 68(1), pages 739-778, July.

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