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Using the Consumer Price Index in Forecasting for Small Geographic Areas



The usefulness of the consumer price index (CPI) as a tool for updating and forecasting income and house values in small geographic market areas is explored in this paper. The topic is introduced by briefly discussing the construction of the CPI and its traditional use as an updating index. The accuracy of such employment is examined statistically with data from 191 census tracts in the metropolitan Atlanta area. For the data set examined, use of the CPI for updating both income and house values is associated with significant and systematic error and bias calling into question its usefulness.

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  • Joseph S. Rabianski & Julian Diaz, III & Neil G. Carn, 1994. "Using the Consumer Price Index in Forecasting for Small Geographic Areas," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(3), pages 391-401.
  • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:9:n:3:1994:p:391-401

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Joseph G. Kowalski & Peter F. Colwell, 1986. "Market Versus Assessed Values of Industrial Land," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 14(2), pages 361-373.
    2. Paul K. Asabere & Forrest E. Huffman, 1991. "Zoning and Industrial Land Values: The Case of Philadelphia," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 154-160.
    3. David L. Chicoine, 1981. "Farmland Values at the Urban Fringe: An Analysis of Sale Prices," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 57(3), pages 353-362.
    4. Colwell, Peter F. & Scheu, Tim, 1989. "Optimal lot size and configuration," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 90-109, July.
    5. Cannaday, Roger E & Colwell, Peter F, 1990. "Optimization of Subdivision Development," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 195-206, June.
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    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services


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