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Forecasting Residential Real Estate Price Changes from Online Search Activity

Author

Listed:
  • Eli Beracha

    (University of Wyoming)

  • M. Babajide Wintoki

    (University of Kansas)

Abstract

The intention of buying a home is revealed by many potential home buyers when they turn to the Internet to search for their future residence. This paper examines the extent to which future cross-sectional differences in home price changes are predicted by online search intensity in prior periods. Our findings are economically meaningful and suggest that abnormal search intensity for real estate in a particular city can help predict the city’s future abnormal housing price change. On average, cities associated with abnormally high real estate search intensity consistently outperform cities with abnormally low real estate search volume by as much as 8.5% over a two-year period.

Suggested Citation

  • Eli Beracha & M. Babajide Wintoki, 2013. "Forecasting Residential Real Estate Price Changes from Online Search Activity," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 35(3), pages 283-312.
  • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:35:n:3:2013:p:283-312
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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