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How The Doha Round Could Support The African Industry?

Author

Listed:
  • Hakim Ben Hammouda

    (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa)

  • Stephen Karingi

    (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa)

  • Nassim Oulmane

    (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa)

  • Mustapha Sadni Jallab

    (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa)

Abstract

This study provides a quantitative evaluation of the Doha Round in terms of the market access for industrial products and the possible consequences of the trade liberalization process. It analyzes the impact of the reforms put forward by the July Package concluded in Geneva. The tariff reduction scenarios under review fit in with the commitments undertaken in the July Package. All four scenarios reviewed are based on a Girard formula. The first, third and fourth scenarios are ambitious, whereas the second is more conservative. Scenarios 1, 3 and 4 differ in the way they factor in special and differential (S&D) treatment. In terms of impact, the simulations show that a liberalization scenario based on an ambitious, non-linear Girard formula would be a less desirable alternative for Africa. It would allow for increases in the welfare and production of the African countries but would not boost African exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Hakim Ben Hammouda & Stephen Karingi & Nassim Oulmane & Mustapha Sadni Jallab, 2007. "How The Doha Round Could Support The African Industry?," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 59-103, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:32:y:2007:i:1:p:59-103
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    File URL: http://www.jed.or.kr/full-text/32-1/32-1-5.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Frank van Tongeren & Robert Koopman & Stephen Karingi & John Reilly & Joseph Francois, 2021. "Back to the Future: A 25-Year Retrospective on GTAP and the Shaping of a New Agenda," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Dixon & Joseph Francois & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe (ed.), POLICY ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel, chapter 3, pages 41-93, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Doha Round; African Industry; GTAP Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations

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