IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/orstsc/v11y2026i1p75-92.html

AI-Augmented Strategic Decision-Making Under Time Constraints: An Experimental Study on Mental Representations and Strategic Foresight

Author

Listed:
  • Tim Kanis

    (Chair of International Management and Corporate Strategy, TU Bergakademie Freiberg, 09599 Freiberg, Germany)

  • Justus Emanuel Mann

    (Chair of International Management and Corporate Strategy, TU Bergakademie Freiberg, 09599 Freiberg, Germany)

  • Jutta Stumpf-Wollersheim

    (Chair of International Management and Corporate Strategy, TU Bergakademie Freiberg, 09599 Freiberg, Germany)

Abstract

Strategic foresight—that is, the ability to predict strategic outcomes—depends on how decision-makers represent strategic problems. Time constraints and large language models (LLMs) are increasingly salient factors shaping this process. We study how both jointly affect mental representations and strategic foresight in a startup evaluation task ( N = 348). Using a 2 × 2 experimental design, we show that both time constraints and LLM use significantly alter the characteristics of mental representations. Despite these representational shifts, neither time constraints nor LLM use are found to significantly change strategic foresight. Additional analyses indicate, for instance, that LLM use increases information overload and reduces psychological ownership. Our findings can be viewed as a cautionary case for the effectiveness of LLM use in strategic decision-making. Thus, our findings suggest several avenues for future research on LLM use and strategic foresight, particularly regarding the interplay between individual cognitive processes and the contextual factors of strategic decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Kanis & Justus Emanuel Mann & Jutta Stumpf-Wollersheim, 2026. "AI-Augmented Strategic Decision-Making Under Time Constraints: An Experimental Study on Mental Representations and Strategic Foresight," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 75-92, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:orstsc:v:11:y:2026:i:1:p:75-92
    DOI: 10.1287/stsc.2025.0442
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/stsc.2025.0442
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/stsc.2025.0442?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard A. Bettis & Michael A. Hitt, 1995. "The new competitive landscape," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(S1), pages 7-19.
    2. Ordonez, Lisa & Benson, Lehman, 1997. "Decisions under Time Pressure: How Time Constraint Affects Risky Decision Making," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 121-140, August.
    3. Gautam Ahuja & Russell W. Coff & Peggy M. Lee, 2005. "Managerial foresight and attempted rent appropriation: insider trading on knowledge of imminent breakthroughs," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(9), pages 791-808, September.
    4. Julian Bafera & Simon Kleinert, 2023. "Signaling Theory in Entrepreneurship Research: A Systematic Review and Research Agenda," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 47(6), pages 2419-2464, November.
    5. Felipe A. Csaszar, 2018. "What Makes a Decision Strategic? Strategic Representations," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(4), pages 606-619, December.
    6. Felipe A. Csaszar & Harsh Ketkar & Hyunjin Kim, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and Strategic Decision-Making: Evidence from Entrepreneurs and Investors," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 322-345, December.
    7. Erik Brynjolfsson & Danielle Li & Lindsey Raymond, 2025. "Generative AI at Work," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 140(2), pages 889-942.
    8. Rahul Kapoor & Daniel Wilde, 2023. "Peering into a crystal ball: Forecasting behavior and industry foresight," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 704-736, March.
    9. Felipe A. Csaszar & Harsh Ketkar & Hyunjin Kim, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and Strategic Decision-Making: Evidence from Entrepreneurs and Investors," Papers 2408.08811, arXiv.org.
    10. Daniella Laureiro‐Martínez & Stefano Brusoni, 2018. "Cognitive flexibility and adaptive decision‐making: Evidence from a laboratory study of expert decision makers," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 1031-1058, April.
    11. Giovanni Gavetti & Daniel Levinthal & William Ocasio, 2007. "Perspective---Neo-Carnegie: The Carnegie School’s Past, Present, and Reconstructing for the Future," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 18(3), pages 523-536, June.
    12. Felipe A. Csaszar & Daniella Laureiro-Martínez, 2018. "Individual and Organizational Antecedents of Strategic Foresight: A Representational Approach," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(3), pages 513-532, September.
    13. J. Robert Baum & Stefan Wally, 2003. "Strategic decision speed and firm performance," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(11), pages 1107-1129, November.
    14. Jeffrey M. Pollack & Matthew W. Rutherford & Brian G. Nagy, 2012. "Preparedness and Cognitive Legitimacy as Antecedents of New Venture Funding in Televised Business Pitches," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 36(5), pages 915-939, September.
    15. Felipe A. Csaszar & Daniel A. Levinthal, 2016. "Mental representation and the discovery of new strategies," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(10), pages 2031-2049, October.
    16. Benson III, Lehman & Beach, Lee Roy, 1996. "The Effects of Time Constraints on the Prechoice Screening of Decision Options," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 222-228, August.
    17. Teppo Felin & Matthias Holweg, 2024. "Theory Is All You Need: AI, Human Cognition, and Causal Reasoning," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 346-371, December.
    18. Gerard P. Hodgkinson & Nicola J. Bown & A. John Maule & Keith W. Glaister & Alan D. Pearman, 1999. "Breaking the frame: an analysis of strategic cognition and decision making under uncertainty," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(10), pages 977-985, October.
    19. Andreea N. Kiss & Dirk Libaers & Pamela S. Barr & Tang Wang & Miles A. Zachary, 2020. "CEO cognitive flexibility, information search, and organizational ambidexterity," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 2200-2233, December.
    20. Anil R. Doshi & J. Jason Bell & Emil Mirzayev & Bart S. Vanneste, 2025. "Generative artificial intelligence and evaluating strategic decisions," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 583-610, March.
    21. Léonard Boussioux & Jacqueline N. Lane & Miaomiao Zhang & Vladimir Jacimovic & Karim R. Lakhani, 2024. "The Crowdless Future? Generative AI and Creative Problem-Solving," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(5), pages 1589-1607, September.
    22. Paul C. Nutt, 1998. "How Decision Makers Evaluate Alternatives and the Influence of Complexity," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(8), pages 1148-1166, August.
    23. Giovanni Gavetti, 2012. "PERSPECTIVE—Toward a Behavioral Theory of Strategy," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 23(1), pages 267-285, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Felipe A. Csaszar & Aticus Peterson & Daniel Wilde, 2026. "The Strategic Foresight of LLMs: Evidence from a Fully Prospective Venture Tournament," Papers 2602.01684, arXiv.org.
    2. Ryan T. Allen & Rory M. McDonald, 2026. "How Well Can AI Do Strategy? Empirical Benchmarking Using Strategy Simulations," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 93-117, March.
    3. Xinying Qu & M.V. Shyam Kumar & Tony W. Tong, 2026. "The Role of Predictions in Acquisition Decision Making: The Strategic Value of AI-Driven Foresight," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 55-74, March.
    4. Felipe A. Csaszar & Gwendolyn Lee & Peter Zemsky & Todd Zenger, 2026. "Can AI Do Strategy?," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, March.
    5. Aaron Chatterji & Felipe A. Csaszar & James Evans & Teppo Felin & Jessica Hullman & Karim R. Lakhani & Mari Sako & Todd Zenger, 2026. "Can AI Do Strategy? A Dialogue and Debate," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 16-30, March.
    6. Simon Kleinert & Silvio Vismara, 2026. "The reconfiguration of entrepreneurship: how digital platforms and artificial intelligence transform the entrepreneurial process," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 16(1), pages 1-24, March.
    7. Arnaldo Camuffo & Alfonso Gambardella & Saeid Kazemi & Abhinav Pandey, 2026. "Beyond Black Boxes: Designing and Testing Agentic AI Systems for Strategy," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 137-156, March.
    8. Felipe A. Csaszar & Harsh Ketkar & Hyunjin Kim, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and Strategic Decision-Making: Evidence from Entrepreneurs and Investors," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 322-345, December.
    9. Junru Shang & Kun Zhang, 2026. "Artificial intelligence capability, CEO-TMT interface and corporate innovation failure," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Nataliia Neshenko & Michael D. Ryall, 2026. "When Artificial Intelligence Does Strategy: Learning, Good Times, Lock-in, and Human-Driven Strategic Renewal," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 157-179, March.
    11. Mu-Jeung Yang & Michael Christensen & Nicholas Bloom & Raffaella Sadun & Jan Rivkin, 2026. "How Do Chief Executive Officers Make Strategy?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(6), pages 4569-4596, June.
    12. Chan Hyung Park, 2024. "Finding a road less traveled: Combining analysis and intuition to develop novel problem formulations," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(11), pages 2368-2392, November.
    13. Li, Lun & Peng, Yanbo & Shao, Guanlin & Dai, Huiyang, 2025. "Betting on success: Unveiling the role of innovation and financing capability on funding decisions by human versus AI evaluators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    14. Vismara, Silvio & Latifi, Gresa & Meinzinger, Leonard & Pass, Alexander, 2026. "Generative AI-powered venture screening: Can large language models help venture capitalists?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    15. Daniel Albert & Stephan Billinger, 2024. "Reproducing and Extending Experiments in Behavioral Strategy with Large Language Models," Papers 2410.06932, arXiv.org.
    16. Aticus Peterson & Andy Wu, 2021. "Entrepreneurial learning and strategic foresight," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(13), pages 2357-2388, December.
    17. Russ McBride, 2026. "Mean Articulation Machines," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(1), pages 31-54, March.
    18. Felipe A. Csaszar & Luke Rhee, 2026. "The Power and Limits of Distributed Representations in Strategic Decision Making," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(2), pages 209-228, June.
    19. Robert Wuebker & Todd Zenger & Teppo Felin, 2023. "The theory‐based view: Entrepreneurial microfoundations, resources, and choices," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(12), pages 2922-2949, December.
    20. Zhou, Yang (Eric) & Xu, Jingjun (David) & Liu, Zhiying, 2026. "Harnessing artificial intelligence for ambidextrous innovation: Contingent roles of complementary investments," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:orstsc:v:11:y:2026:i:1:p:75-92. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.