IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/oropre/v52y2004i1p1-16.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Simulation Model for Predicting Yacht Match Race Outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • A. B. Philpott

    (Department of Engineering, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1020, New Zealand)

  • S. G. Henderson

    (School of Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853)

  • D. Teirney

    (Orion Systems NZ Limited, Auckland, New Zealand)

Abstract

We outline the development of a model for predicting the outcome of a yacht match race between two competing designs. The model is a fixed-time-increment simulation that accounts for the dynamic performance of each yacht. The wind speed and direction are modelled using hidden Markov chain models. Each yacht is assumed to follow a fixed sailing strategy determined by a set of simple decision rules. The simulation models both yachts simultaneously and accounts for interactions between them---for example, when they cross. The model is illustrated by applying it to International America's Cup Class designs.

Suggested Citation

  • A. B. Philpott & S. G. Henderson & D. Teirney, 2004. "A Simulation Model for Predicting Yacht Match Race Outcomes," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 1-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:52:y:2004:i:1:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.1030.0078
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0078
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/opre.1030.0078?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philpott, A. B. & Sullivan, R. M. & Jackson, P. S., 1993. "Yacht velocity prediction using mathematical programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 13-24, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jacek Tarnas & Nina Schaffert & Helena Elegańczyk-Kot & Leszek Kostański & Rafał Stemplewski, 2020. "Intra- and Inter-Device Reliability of the Change-of-Direction Angles Using a Smartphone Application for Sailing," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-7, May.
    2. M B Wright, 2009. "50 years of OR in sport," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(1), pages 161-168, May.
    3. Cacace, S. & Ferretti, R. & Festa, A., 2020. "Stochastic hybrid differential games and match race problems," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 372(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Irina S. Dolinskaya, 2012. "Optimal path finding in direction, location, and time dependent environments," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 59(5), pages 325-339, August.
    2. Irina S. Dolinskaya & Marina A. Epelman & Esra Şişikoğlu Sir & Robert L. Smith, 2016. "Parameter-Free Sampled Fictitious Play for Solving Deterministic Dynamic Programming Problems," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 169(2), pages 631-655, May.
    3. Irina S. Dolinskaya & Robert L. Smith, 2013. "Fastest-Path Planning for Direction-Dependent Speed Functions," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 158(2), pages 480-497, August.
    4. Ladany, Shaul P. & Levi, Ofer, 2017. "Search for optimal sailing policy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(1), pages 222-231.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:52:y:2004:i:1:p:1-16. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.