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Game Theoretic Analysis of Insurgent Attacks, Government Protection, and International Intervention

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  • Kjell Hausken

    (University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway)

  • Mthuli Ncube

    (Quantum Global Research Lab Ltd., Zug, Switzerland)

Abstract

This article describes how a government failing to protect against insurgents may or may not be rescued by the international community. We find that when intervention is less probable, the insurgent and government fight harder and the insurgent more likely succeeds. Conversely, when intervention is more probable, the insurgent fights less expecting subsequent intervention, and the government protects less expecting international community rescue. Higher contest intensities cause comparably matched players to fight harder. The international community intervenes if its unit intervention cost is low weighted against the benefits of intervention.

Suggested Citation

  • Kjell Hausken & Mthuli Ncube, 2020. "Game Theoretic Analysis of Insurgent Attacks, Government Protection, and International Intervention," International Journal of Strategic Decision Sciences (IJSDS), IGI Global, vol. 11(1), pages 56-75, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:igg:jsds00:v:11:y:2020:i:1:p:56-75
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    File URL: http://services.igi-global.com/resolvedoi/resolve.aspx?doi=10.4018/IJSDS.2020010104
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    Cited by:

    1. Kjell Hausken and & Ncube, Mthuli, 2019. "Insurgent attacks, government protection, and international intervention," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 142-175.

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