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A note on the importance of the first goal in a National Hockey League game

Author

Listed:
  • Jack Brimberg
  • W.J. Hurley

Abstract

In their pregame assessments of which team will win an important hockey game, TV commentators will often point out the importance of scoring the first goal, suggesting that a team improves its chances of winning considerably by scoring it. In this note, we use some simple probability theory to calculate how a team's chance of winning (and losing) changes after the first goal.

Suggested Citation

  • Jack Brimberg & W.J. Hurley, 2009. "A note on the importance of the first goal in a National Hockey League game," International Journal of Operational Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(2), pages 282-287.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijores:v:6:y:2009:i:2:p:282-287
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    Cited by:

    1. Kniffin, Kevin M. & Mihalek, Vince, 2014. "Within-series momentum in hockey: No returns for running up the score," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(3), pages 400-402.

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