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The influence of global financial crisis on Jordanian equity market: VECM approach

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  • Hussain Ali Bekhet
  • Ali Matar

Abstract

The current paper attempts to analyse the causality and co-integration relationship between the global financial crisis and the general stock price index (SPI) in the Jordanian equity market for the 1978-2011 period. A vector error correction model (VECM) is utilised to test the causal relationship between SPI and its determinants [gross domestic product (GDP), money supply (M2), exchange rate (EX) and consumer price index (CPI)]. The results identify a co-integration between SPI and Jordanian macroeconomic variables indicating a long-run equilibrium relationship among them. The error-correction term coefficient has a significant negative sign pointed to the adjustment back from short-run disequilibrium to the long-run equilibrium. The Granger causality test suggests a bidirectional causal relationship between SPI and M2 in the short and long runs. In addition, the results reveal that the global financial crisis has a positive significant impact on the SPI.

Suggested Citation

  • Hussain Ali Bekhet & Ali Matar, 2013. "The influence of global financial crisis on Jordanian equity market: VECM approach," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(4), pages 285-301.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:6:y:2013:i:4:p:285-301
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Goran Mojanoski, 2022. "Long-Run And Short-Run Causality Between Stock Price Indices And Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence Of Panel Vecm Analysis From Bosnia And Herzegovina, Croatia, North Macedonia And Serbia," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 20(2), pages 3-14, November.
    2. Qasim Ahmad Alawaqleh & Nashat Ali Almasria, 2021. "The Impact of Audit Committee Performance and Composition on Financial Reporting Quality in Jordan," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(3), pages 55-69, May.
    3. Bekhet, Hussain Ali & Al-Smadi, Raed Walid, 2015. "Determinants of Jordanian foreign direct investment inflows: Bounds testing approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 27-35.

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