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The role of human development on deforestation in Africa: a modelling-based approach

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  • Simplice A. Asongu
  • Brian A. Jingwa

Abstract

The rate of deforestation in Africa is of paramount concern not only to the future of Africa, but also to the world. This study uses country-level data to model changes in forest area over an 18 year period (1990-2007) in 35 African countries and investigates the role played by important development indicators of human development. The results reveal that the net loss of forests was 0.19% every year between 1990 and 2007. Human development, which involves life expectancy, education and income, is found to have a positive effect on forest growth and conservation, while logging trees for wood fuel is a significant cause of deforestation. Using generalised linear mixed models and generalised estimating equations, it was possible to calculate expected estimates of forest area for 2010, 2020 and 2030 under the assumption that nothing is done to change observed trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Simplice A. Asongu & Brian A. Jingwa, 2012. "The role of human development on deforestation in Africa: a modelling-based approach," International Journal of Green Economics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(4), pages 317-330.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijgrec:v:6:y:2012:i:4:p:317-330
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Brian A. Jingwa, 2012. "Population growth and forest sustainability in Africa," International Journal of Green Economics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(2), pages 145-166.
    2. World Bank, 2011. "World Development Indicators 2011," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2315, December.
    3. James Foster & Luis Lopez-Calva & Miguel Szekely, 2005. "Measuring the Distribution of Human Development: methodology and an application to Mexico," Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 5-25.
    4. World Bank, 2010. "World Development Indicators 2010," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4373, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. A. Misra & Kusum Lata & J. Shukla, 2014. "Effects of population and population pressure on forest resources and their conservation: a modeling study," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 361-374, April.
    2. Simplice A, Asongu, 2011. "Deforestation and welfare : evidence from Africa," MPRA Paper 35161, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    deforestation; environmental impact; human development index; agriculture; data modelling; Africa; forests; net loss; life expectancy; education; income; forest growth; forest conservation; logging; wood fuel.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry
    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • I0 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - General
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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