IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ids/ijavim/v2y2015i3-4p256-273.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecast of air traffic's CO 2 and NO x emissions until 2030

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Schaefer

Abstract

This article presents both methodology and results of an emissions forecast for air traffic until the year 2030. Aircraft emissions include carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitric oxides (NOx), which influence atmospheric chemistry and may contribute to global warming. The forecast is based on a simulation model, which predicts future air traffic and its emissions using flight schedules for a base year in combination with traffic growth assumptions and a fleet rollover simulation. Aircraft performance software is applied to estimate fuel consumption, CO2 and NOx emissions. Models from the Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) are used to simulate today's fleet of aircraft, supplemented by additional models representing aircraft of the near future. Forecast results include the number of flights, passenger-kilometres, fuel consumption, CO2 and NOx emissions for air traffic from 2010 until 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Schaefer, 2015. "Forecast of air traffic's CO 2 and NO x emissions until 2030," International Journal of Aviation Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(3/4), pages 256-273.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijavim:v:2:y:2015:i:3/4:p:256-273
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=72384
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ids:ijavim:v:2:y:2015:i:3/4:p:256-273. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID=289 .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sarah Parker (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID=289 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.