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Macroeconomics Indicators And Bank Stability: A Case Of Banking In Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Norzitah Abdul Karim

    (International Islamic University Malaysia)

  • Syed Musa Syed Jaafar Al-Habshi

    (International Islamic University Malaysia)

  • Muhamad Abduh

    (Universiti Brunei Darussalam)

Abstract

This paper provides new empirical evidence of the bank stability in relation to the macroeconomic indicator of Indonesia. The bank stability is first calculated using Z-score, and then regressed using Autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model on the macroeconomic variables i.e. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in US dollar, Interest rates (IR) in percentage and Consumer Price Index (CPI). To analyse further the long run relationship and the impact of bank stability, Cholesky standard deviation shock to the model, ARDL and Impulse Response Function (IRF) are used. These ARDL and IRF are carried out independently and repeated over data for three different models: (i) the commercial banks model, (ii) Islamic banks model, and (iii) the overall banking industry model. The empirical findings suggest long run relationship between the stability of commercial banks and macroeconomic factors. The findings also suggest the long run relationship between the stability of overall banking industry and macroeconomic factors. However, there is no evidence of long run relationship between the stability of Islamic banks and macroeconomics factors. Nevertheless, this finding is subject to the limitation of data, on the number of Islamic banks included in the test. The sample of Islamic banks was 5 banks from a total of 10 Islamic banks, due to insufficient data, as compared to the larger number of commercial banks taken into, as the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Norzitah Abdul Karim & Syed Musa Syed Jaafar Al-Habshi & Muhamad Abduh, 2016. "Macroeconomics Indicators And Bank Stability: A Case Of Banking In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 18(4), pages 1-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:journl:v:18:y:2016:i:4c:p:1-18
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v18i4.609
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Juhro, Solikin M. & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Trisnanto, Budi, 2020. "Is there a role for Islamic finance and R&D in endogenous growth models in the case of Indonesia?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    2. Mochammad Ridwan Ristyawan, 2021. "Artificial Neural Network and Analytical Hierarchy Process Integration: A Tool to Estimate Business Strategy of Bank," GATR Journals jfbr179, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    3. Shikha Singh & Mandira Sarma, 2020. "Financial Structure and Stability: An Empirical Exploration," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 9-32.
    4. Mohammad Sami Ali, 2020. "Evaluating the Effectiveness of the Bird-in-Hand-Dividends Policy in the Stability of Jordanian Listed Banks," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(4), pages 96-110, July.
    5. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Rahman, R. Eki & Hutabarat, Akhis R., 2020. "Do financial technology firms influence bank performance?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Aditya Anta Taruna & Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Raquela Renanda Nattan, 2020. "Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Test: An Application to Indonesian Banks," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 165-187.
    7. Bijoy Rakshit & Samaresh Bardhan, 2020. "Does Bank Competition Enhance or Hinder Financial Stability? Evidence from Indian Banking," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 75-102.
    8. Kamran, Hafiz Waqas & Haseeb, Muhammad & Nguyen, Thu Thuy & Nguyen, V.C., 2020. "Climate change and bank stability: The moderating role of green financing and renewable energy consumption in ASEAN," OSF Preprints v48fa, Center for Open Science.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank Stability; Z-score; ARDL; Commercial Banks; Islamic Banks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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