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The Impact of Political Scandals on Popularity and Votes

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Listed:
  • Jean-Dominique Lafay

    (Laboratoire D'Economic Publique (LAEP), Maison des Sciences Economques, Paris, France)

  • Marie Servais

    (Laboratoire D'Economic Publique (LAEP), Maison des Sciences Economques, Paris, France)

Abstract

Many political scandals have erupted in France since the middle of the 80s. Though their degree of seriousness may vary considerably, their high number in itself reveals the existence of a major phenomenon. The first, theoretical section analyzes the question of the equilibrium level of "underground government" in a country, the reasons why a scandal breaks, its dynamics, and the reactions of public opinion and of the electorate to it. The second, empirical section presents statistical measures of the influence of political scandals on the popularity of the different parties and individual politicians, and the vote for them. The empirical analysis uses two types of data: (a) the result of local elections in France 1995, and (b) the number of lines published about the different scandals in a well-known and influential French newspaper (Le Monde). Scandals appear to have a very significant influence, both on the electoral results of the individually concerned politicians, and on the general popularity of the involved parties.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Dominique Lafay & Marie Servais, 2002. "The Impact of Political Scandals on Popularity and Votes," Homo Oeconomicus, Institute of SocioEconomics, vol. 19, pages 153-170.
    • Handle: RePEc:hom:homoec:v:19:y:2002:p:153-170
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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Auberger, 2015. "The impact of economic and political factors on popularity for France (1981-2014)," Working Papers halshs-01264983, HAL.
    2. Antoine Auberger, 2020. "The impact of economic and political factors on popularity for France (1981- 2017)," Working Papers hal-02501677, HAL.

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