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Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future

Author

Listed:
  • Ewald Boehlke

    (Daimler AG (Germany))

  • Eckard Minx

    (Daimler AG (Germany))

Abstract

Complex and implicit issues of utilizing scenario method in strategic planning are considered. Special emphasis is placed on a gap between future visions and related actions of politicians and business actors that prevents efficient decision-making on the national level. Authors not only reveal existing contradictions but also attempt to explain their causes and recommend solutions to overcome the problem. They propose an unconventional approach - scenario design of the future. It allows revealing relations between various complex phenomenons, comparing consequences of alternative development pathways and make better decisions. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

  • Ewald Boehlke & Eckard Minx, 2008. "Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 2(4), pages 4-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:2:y:2008:i:4:p:4-8
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    File URL: http://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2010/12/31/1208181722/01.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    strategic management; strategic planning; strategic thinking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O21 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Planning Models; Planning Policy

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