The Effect of IFRS 9 Implementation on Credit Risk in Commercial Banks in Cambodia

This study explores the effect that the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) 9 has on credit risk in commercial banks in Cambodia, focused primarily on non-performing loans (NPLs) as a significant indicator. In the static and dynamic panel estimations, the analysis shows that the NPL behavior is best characterized using a dynamic specification, which passes relevant diagnostic tests and leads to evidence of persistence and endogeneity, which has not been conducted in Cambodia yet. The study covered the period from 2013 to 2024. During this period, 26 commercial banks had complete datasets. Combining time-series and cross-sectional data, the total sample size was 312 observations. The results show substantial path dependence in NPLs, suggesting credit deterioration is persistent and that early measures are needed. We find evidence that the adoption of IFRS 9 is positively and significantly associated with increased measures of NPLs, though we interpret this as consistent with improved transparency and forward-looking recognition of expected credit losses—and not indicative of deterioration in underlying asset quality. Bank-specific determinants such as profitability, size, leverage, and liquidity emerge as key predictors of credit risk; banks with stronger financial fundamentals experience improved asset quality. Macroeconomic factors like economic growth are key to decreasing NPLs in the dynamic framework as well. The results highlight the need for forward-looking accounting standards, prudent bank-level practices, and macroeconomic stability. Policy issues include increased supervisory vigilance, legal conservatism when assessing IFRS 9-related indicators, a revision of the capital and liquidity regulatory framework in relation to counterparties operating with them, as well as coordinated macroeconomic policies aiming at boosting the financial system—economy arterial connection.