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Short-Term Effects of Atmospheric Pollution on Daily Mortality and Their Modification by Increased Temperatures Associated with a Climatic Change Scenario in Northern Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Rosa María Cerón Bretón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Julia Griselda Cerón Bretón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Jonathan W. D. Kahl

    (Mathematical Sciences, Atmospheric Science Group, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI 53211, USA)

  • María de la Luz Espinosa Fuentes

    (Atmospheric Sciences Center, National University of Mexico, Investigación Científica s/n, Ciudad de Mexico 04510, Mexico)

  • Evangelina Ramírez Lara

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Nuevo Leon, Av. Universidad s/n, Ciudad Universitaria, San Nicolas de los Garza 66455, Mexico)

  • Marcela Rangel Marrón

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Reyna del Carmen Lara Severino

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

  • Martha Patricia Uc Chi

    (Chemistry Faculty, Autonomous University of Carmen, Campeche 24100, Mexico)

Abstract

Short-term effects of air pollution on the health of residents in the Metropolitan Area of Monterrey, Mexico were assessed from 2012–2015 using a time-series approach. Guadalupe had the highest mean concentrations for SO 2 , CO and O 3 ; whereas Santa Catarina showed the highest NO 2 concentrations. Escobedo and Garcia registered the highest levels for PM 10 . Only PM 10 and O 3 exceeded the maximum permissible values established in the Mexican official standards. Most of pollutants and municipalities showed a great number of associations between an increase of 10% in their current concentrations and mortality, especially for people >60 years. Different scenarios resulting from climatic change were built (increases of 5–25% in daily mean temperature), but only the increase of 25% (5 °C) showed a significant association with air pollutant concentrations and mortality. All pollutants and municipalities showed significant increases in relative risk indexes (RRI) resulting from an increase of 5 °C when people >60 years was considered. Results were comparable to those reported by other authors around the world. The RRI were low but significant, and thus are of public concern. This study demonstrated that the elderly is strongly threatened not only by atmospheric pollution but also by climatic change scenarios in warm and semiarid places.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosa María Cerón Bretón & Julia Griselda Cerón Bretón & Jonathan W. D. Kahl & María de la Luz Espinosa Fuentes & Evangelina Ramírez Lara & Marcela Rangel Marrón & Reyna del Carmen Lara Severino & Mart, 2020. "Short-Term Effects of Atmospheric Pollution on Daily Mortality and Their Modification by Increased Temperatures Associated with a Climatic Change Scenario in Northern Mexico," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-21, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:24:p:9219-:d:459534
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Henrik Olstrup & Christer Johansson & Bertil Forsberg & Christofer Åström, 2019. "Association between Mortality and Short-Term Exposure to Particles, Ozone and Nitrogen Dioxide in Stockholm, Sweden," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-14, March.
    2. Matteo Scortichini & Manuela De Sario & Francesca K. De’Donato & Marina Davoli & Paola Michelozzi & Massimo Stafoggia, 2018. "Short-Term Effects of Heat on Mortality and Effect Modification by Air Pollution in 25 Italian Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-12, August.
    3. Rachel Lowe & Joan Ballester & James Creswick & Jean-Marie Robine & François R. Herrmann & Xavier Rodó, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of a Climate-Driven Mortality Model during Heat Waves and Cold Spells in Europe," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Chao Zhang & Zhenyu Quan & Qincheng Wu & Zhezhen Jin & Joseph H. Lee & Chunhua Li & Yuxin Zheng & Lianhua Cui, 2018. "Association between Atmospheric Particulate Pollutants and Mortality for Cardio-Cerebrovascular Diseases in Chinese Korean Population: A Case-Crossover Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-12, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shayna K. Fever & Jonathan D. W. Kahl & Amy E. Kalkbrenner & Rosa M. Cerón Bretón & Julia G. Cerón Bretón, 2022. "A New Combined Air Quality and Heat Index in Relation to Mortality in Monterrey, Mexico," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-15, March.
    2. Longwu Liang & Zhenbo Wang, 2021. "Control Models and Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Air Pollution in the Rapidly Developing Urban Agglomerations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-16, June.

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