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The Effect of Weather on First-Quarter GDP

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Abstract

In a pattern similar to that of the previous year, the U.S. economy appeared to slow down this past winter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis currently estimates that gross domestic product (GDP) grew at 0.6% (at an annualized rate) in the first quarter of 2015. And as in the previous year, harsh winter weather has been cited by some observers as being responsible for the slowdown. However, there is substantial disagreement on the impact of weather on economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • François Gourio, 2015. "The Effect of Weather on First-Quarter GDP," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:00029
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    Cited by:

    1. Larry Hughes & Moniek Jong & Zach Thorne, 2021. "(De)coupling and (De)carbonizing in the economies and energy systems of the G20," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5614-5639, April.
    2. Boneva, Lena & Ferrucci, Gianluigi, 2022. "Inflation and climate change: the role of climate variables in inflation forecasting and macro modelling," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115533, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Hanna Yatsenko, 2020. "The Impact of Weather Conditions on Economic Activity in Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 249, pages 25-49.

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    Keywords

    economy; GDP;

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