Money and output: correlation or causality?
The correlation between changes in the nation's total supply of money and subsequent changes in real output has led some people to infer that policymakers, by changing the money supply, can stimulate or moderate the nation's real output. ; Scott Freeman argues that this conclusion may be inappropriate. Freeman distinguishes inside money, the money created by banks through their lending, from outside money, the money the Federal Reserve prints. He shows that anticipatory increases in bank lending may account for the rise in the money supply that often precedes an expansion in real output. Under this interpretation, increases in the money supply that are due to Federal Reserve action result in higher prices, with no increase in real output. Thus, the existence of a correlation between money and output does not necessarily imply that Fed-engineered increases in the money supply have real effects.
Volume (Year): (1992)
Issue (Month): Q III ()
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.dallasfed.org/|
More information through EDIRC
|Order Information:|| Email: |
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedder:y:1992:i:qiii:p:1-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Delia Rodriguez)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.