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Hysteresis in unemployment

Author

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  • Laurence Ball

Abstract

Hysteresis is central to long-run unemployment movements in many countries. This essay addresses two broad issues. The first is whether there is clear evidence of hysteresis effects. To put it differently, can we reject the hypothesis that the NAIRU, and hence the long run behavior of unemployment, is independent of aggregate demand? The second broad issue is the nature of hysteresis. Through what mechanisms do short-run unemployment movements influence the NAIRU? What determines the strength of these effects in different countries and time periods? What are the implications for monetary policy?

Suggested Citation

  • Laurence Ball, 2008. "Hysteresis in unemployment," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbcp:y:2008:n:53:x:10
    Note: Complete conference proceedings can be ordered from MIT Press.
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    File URL: https://www.bostonfed.org/news-and-events/events/economic-research-conference-series/understanding-inflation-and-the-implications-for-monetary-policy-a-phillips-curve-retrospective.aspx
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gbaguidi DAVID, 2011. "Expectations Impact On The Effectiveness Of The Inflation-Real Activity Trade-Off," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 2(2), pages 141-181.
    2. Jakub Bechný, 2019. "Unemployment Hysteresis in the Czech Republic," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(5), pages 532-546.
    3. Gbaguidi, David Sedo, 2011. "Regime Switching in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve with Non-zero Steady-state Inflation Rate," MPRA Paper 35481, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:preprint:id:709:p:1-15 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Gbaguidi, David, 2012. "La courbe de Phillips : temps d’arbitrage et/ou arbitrage de temps," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 88(1), pages 87-119, mars.
    6. Adama Zerbo, 2018. "Essai d'une nouvelle représentation macroéconomique du marché du travail," Documents de travail 178, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.

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