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Would You Follow MM or a Profitable Trading Strategy?


  • Brian Baturevich, Gulnur Muradoglu

    () (Minho University, Portugal.)


We investigate the ability of company capital structures to be used as a predictor for abnormal returns. We carry out robustness tests to determine the predictive ability of debt ratios, controlling for size of company, price-toearnings (PE) ratio, market-to-book value ratio (MTBV) and beta. We show that companies in the lowest leverage decile, exhibit the highest abnormal returns – 17% over a three-year period. A strategy of choosing the smallest companies with the lowest leverage yields cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in excess of 80% over three years.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian Baturevich, Gulnur Muradoglu, 2010. "Would You Follow MM or a Profitable Trading Strategy?," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, SKEMA Business School, vol. 7(2), pages 69-89, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ffe:journl:v:7:y:2010:i:2:p:69-89

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    Capital Structure; leverage; abnormal returns; trading strategy;

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation


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